22nd. Aug. Argentine Division 1---Barracas Central VS Defensa Y Justicia Prediction
Argentine Division 1 - Barracas Central VS Defensa Y Justicia
Match Time:23-08-2025 02:30 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
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Barracas Central
Barracas Central, coached by Rubén Insúa, is 1st with 7 points after two wins and one draw, including a 3-0 league win over River Plate on May 12, 2025, and a 1-1 draw at Central Córdoba SdE on August 17, 2025. They’ve averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded in three league matches. Key players include Nahuel Barrios (1 goal), Javier Ruiz (4 assists), and Facundo Bruera, with a probable 3-4-2-1 lineup: Moyano; Capraro, Demartini, Tobio; Rosane, Ruiz, Tapia, Insua; Barrios, Candia; Bruera. Strengths include their defensive solidity (2 clean sheets) and home form (2-0-0 in Clausura), but a lack of depth and reliance on Ruiz for creativity are concerns. They aim to maintain their unbeaten run and solidify their top position, leveraging their recent dominance over Defensa.
Defensa y Justicia
Defensa y Justicia, led by Pablo de Muner, is 6th with 4 points after a 2-1 league win over Central Córdoba SdE on July 28, 2025, and a 1-0 Sudamericana win over Barracas on August 31, 2024. Their recent form includes three wins and two draws in five matches, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 0.6 conceded. Key players include Gastón Togni (5 goals), Juan Miritello (5 goals), and Aaron Molinas, with a probable 5-4-1 lineup: Bologna; Cannavo, Aguilera, Ferreira, Soto; Molinas, Gutiérrez, Pérez, González; Togni; Miritello. Strengths include their defensive organization (3 clean sheets in 5 games) and Togni’s scoring form, but injuries to Lucas González and Benjamin Schamine (both knee) and a poor away record against Barracas (0-1-2 since 2022) are issues. They aim to repeat their Sudamericana win and climb the table.
Head-to-Head
Barracas and Defensa have met 6 times since 2022. Defensa won 2 (including a 1-0 Sudamericana win on August 31, 2024), Barracas won 1 (3-1 in 2022), and 3 drew, including a 1-1 Clausura draw on February 15, 2025 (Defensa: 61.1% possession, 7 shots on goal; Barracas: 3 shots on goal). Matches average 2.0 goals, with 50% both teams scoring (BTTS) and 33% over 2.5 goals. At Estadio Claudio Tapia, Barracas are unbeaten (1-2-0), with their 3-1 win in 2022 as their only home victory.
Predicted Score: Barracas Central 1-0 Defensa y Justicia
Barracas’s Barrios and Ruiz face Defensa’s Togni and Miritello, with Barracas’s home strength and defensive form tested by Defensa’s organized defense and recent H2H edge. Barracas are slight favorites (2.50 odds, 40% win probability) over Defensa (2.80), with a draw at 3.10. Trends (Barracas: 33% BTTS; Defensa: 40% under 2.5 goals) and H2H suggest a low-scoring game, with betting tips favoring under 2.5 goals (1.80) and double chance X1 (Barracas or draw, 1.40). Cards are likely in the 22°C evening, with Barracas’s 10 fouls and Defensa’s 11 per game suggesting 4-5 cards. Barracas aim to extend their unbeaten home run, while Defensa seek to repeat their Sudamericana upset. Barracas may score through Barrios, with Defensa struggling to break through. Barracas’s home form and defensive solidity should secure a narrow win, aligning with their low-scoring H2H and recent Clausura dominance, though Defensa’s defensive resilience keeps it tight.
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